IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE SOUTHERN DISTRICT
OF TEXAS HOUSTON DIVISION
ISABEL G. ANDRADE, et al.
Plaintiffs,
V. PHILLIP J. CHOJNACKI, et al. Defendants.
CIVIL ACTION NO. Judge Atlas and consolidated actions: Holub
v. Reno Ferguson v. Reno Brown v. U. S. Riddle v. Reno
Gyarfas v. U.S. Martin v U.S.
H-94-0923
H-94-2153 H-95-0218
H-95-0587
H-95-0602
H-95-1142
H-95-4246
DECLARATION OF RICHARD L. SHERROW
INTRODUCTION
My name is RICHARD L. SHERROW and am President of RICHARD L.
SHERROW and Associates in Mesa, Arizona. I
am a former Fire and Explosion Investigator with the Bureau of
Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, United States Department of
Treasury, and retired as a Senior Explosive Ordnance Disposal
Technician from the United States Army.
I have more than thirty years experience as an explosives and
arson investigator, have been involved in over 40 major fire
investigations, and have qualified as an expert witness in federal
and state court in 18 states. In addition to arson, fire and
explosion expertise, I have served as a Staff Instructor at both
the U.S. Army Chemical Center and School and Redstone
Arsenal and have been a technical writer and instructor in the
use of chemical and biological weapons, including riot control
agents.
In addition, I have received training from the BATF, FBI, U.S.
Army, U.S. Navy, U.S. Air Force, DuPont and the Federal
Law Enforcement Training Center (FLETC). I have attended the Ohio
Fire Academy and the National Fire Academy (NFA). I
am also a graduate of the Police Academy at Jacksonville State
University, Jacksonville, Alabama. I am a past member of the
International Association of Bomb Technicians (IABTI).
I have made a preliminary investigation into the cause, origin,
nature and growth of the fire which consumed the Mount Carmel
Center near Waco, Texas, on April 19, 1993, and where members
of the Branch Davidian religion perished as a result of said
fire. This preliminary investigation was based upon the Forward-Looking
Infrared (FLIR) video, still photographs extracted
from the FLIR, still photographs taken from the air and from the
ground during the fire, broadcast news video, videography
taken by a private investigator while the government was in control
of the Mount Carmel Center, signed statements and
interviews of Branch Davidians who survived the fire, official
reports and case notes of federal and state law enforcement
agents, the reports of the United States' fire investigators (namely
Paul Gray and James Quiontere) and from my own personal
inspection of the fire site.
Based upon this preliminary investigation, I am able to conclude,
within my professional opinion, that it is consistent with this
evidence that the fire originated from a single point and spread
throughout the Mount Carmel structure. It is also consistent with
evidence that the original fire was started by a M728 CEV striking
the southeast corner tower of Mount Carmel. These
conclusions are as consistent with the evidence as the conclusions
reached in the Gray and Quientere reports and they are in
direct contravention to conclusions reached in the Gray and Quientere
reports.
SITE INVESTIGATION
Mount Carmel Center was a multi-storied, wood-frame building
of irregular construction. It was built of about half used lumber
and building materials cannibalized from houses that had existed
on the property previously and from new materials purchased
for its construction. The building was constructed haphazardly
over time without any attention to fire safety. Some of the
building's interior lacked wallboard or finishing. Those areas
of the building which had been finished were completed with highly
flammable materials.
Contained within the building on the first floor were the living
quarters. dining and kitchen areas, several storage rooms, a
chapel and gymnasium. A four-story tower was located near the
center of the structure and contained a reinforced-concrete
room used to house a walk-in cooler for food storage. This concrete
structure was built in the 1930's and had survived a
previous fire some years before.
The second floor was contiguous over the first and also contained
living quarters. Both corners of the building in front contained
a third story. Moreover, the four-story tower had a fourth floor
directly over the third.
Foundation, slabs and piers were homemade with unreinforced
concrete and did not contribute significantly to the building's
resistance to mechanical shock. The roof was of decked plywood
construction, overlaid with asphalt composition roofing
materials.
External electrical power was turned off to the structure prior
to the fire but a diesel generator of unknown capacity was
present within the structure and had been known to be energized
intermittently between February 28 and April 19, 1993.
Moreover, several storage areas and rooms were known to contain
large amounts of highly flammable and combustible
materials, including, but not limited to, gasoline, kerosene,
lamp oil, Coleman lantern fuel, paint, petroleum distillates,
tar and
roofing materials, acetylene and oxygen containers, gunpowder,
metal shavings, and a large quantity of small arms ammunition.
Internal heating and cooking fires were provided by improvised
wood-burning stoves and propane fueled gas ranges,
respectively. Due to the lack of external electrical power, internal
lighting was accomplished with Coleman-type gas pressurized
lanterns and glass oil-burning wick lamps.
It is known that a large, commercial-type gas range was located
in the kitchen/dining area adjacent to the four-story tower. This
range was fed by a large, 100 pound propane tank located externally
to the dining room. The propane was conducted through
the wall at that location by a conduit pipe. The tank appeared
to be nearly full of propane as evidenced by a spectacular boiling
liquid expanding vapor explosion (BLEVE) during the fire.
Mount Carmel Center was occupied as a multi-family residential
building with shared common areas, including a
commercial-sized kitchen, and compartmented into many smaller
rooms used for personal quarters.
INSERTION OF CHEMICAL AGENTS
On April 19. 1993, at approximately 6:00 a.m., agents of the
Federal Bureau of Investigation began executing a plan to
introduce a riot control agent, ortho- chlorobenzalmalononitrile
(CS).
CS is a micro-pulverized particulate riot control agent designed
for crowd dispersal in open areas. Although no open or closed
cup flash point has been determined for CS, it is a combustible
solid. Published information on CS by the National Institute for
Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) states that the ceiling
exposure limit for CS is 0.05 parts per million (ppm) or
approximately 0.2 milligrams per cubic meter (mg/m^3). The ceiling
exposure limit is not to be exceeded at any time. NIOSH
information lists CS as having an immediate danger to life and
health (IDLH) exposure limit of 2 mg/m^3. Information contained
in the U.S. Justice Department report on Waco states that 10 mg/m^3
is the concentration of CS which will deter trained
troops. Moreover, powdered CS may be a fire hazard in concentrated
quantities and can produce a flammable dust.
During the next six hours, the FBI utilized M728 Combat Engineer
Vehicles (CEV) to breach the outer walls of the building and
to inject CS. A CEV is a large armored vehicle, weighing in excess
of 50 tons, is equipped with a 165mm demolition gun and is
modification of the M60A1 Main Battle Tank, The CS was injected
by use of a Mark V delivery device. The MK-5 delivery
device consisted of several bottles of pressurized carbon dioxide
which was used to entrain the particulate CS in a gaseous
stream, This stream was injected into the structure through a
nozzle located on the end of a boom connected to the CEV.
In addition to the CS injection utilizing the Mark-5 delivery
systems on the CEVs, FBI agents in Bradley Infantry Fighting
Vehicles (BIFV) fired SGA-400 Ferret barricade penetrating cartridges
into windows and areas not reachable by the CEVs. A
Ferret is a 40 mm projectile containing particulate CS and a liquid
suspension agent, methylene chloride. The Ferret is a
non-pyrotechnic munition specifically designed for barricade situations.
At least 400, and possibly more, of these Ferret rounds
were fired in and at Branch Davidians during the breaching and
CS insertion operation.
Besides the SGA-400 Ferret cartridges, information from documents
obtained from the FBI through the United States
Department of justice indicates that military pyrotechnic munitions
may have been fired into Mount Carmel. Documents
disclosed indicate that agents could not penetrate either the
underground shelter roof or the top of the rear four- story tower
with Ferrets. Therefore, they fired at least one "military"
round and referred to this munition as a "bubblehead."
As a retired
U.S. Army senior explosive ordnance disposal technician, I am
unaware of the nomenclature and function of a "bubblehead"
nor can I find any reference to such a munition in official military
publications. However, I am familiar with a device known as a
"bunker buster," which is a munition about the size
of a softball and designed to penetrate fortifications. I recall
that this munition
was of foreign manufacture and filled with plasticized high explosive
(HEP). It may have had other fillers, including chemical riot
control agents. The exact identity of a "bubblehead"
would have to be determined before any possible contribution to
the fire
could be established.
In the event that members of the Branch Davidians contemplated
or began to execute a mass suicide, it was the plan of the FBI
Hostage Rescue Team (HRT) "to disrupt any suicide attempt
with flash-bangs." "Flash-bang" generically refers
to pyrotechnic
stun munitions designed to temporarily incapacitate or disorient
personnel by producing a loud report and blinding flash. These
munitions contain an explosive/incendiary pyrotechnic composition.
A number of these munitions manufactured by the Nico
Corporation were known to be fired during the 51 day standoff
and were in the possession of the FBI HRT on April 19, 1993.
Use of stun munitions in barricade situations is extremely hazardous
due to the potential of causing an accidental fire.
In addition to the CS and methylene chloride introduced by
the above methods, the Gray report refers to the induction of
choloracetophenone (CN), another riot control agent. CN comes
in both liquid and powder forms: CN-B is a mixture of CN
and benzene and CN-C is a mixture of CN and chloroform in a liquid
state. CN is highly flammable in its liquid state; in its
powdered state, CN has a flashpoint of 59' C.
It is known that many of the Branch Davidians were in possession
of protective masks. Therefore, the effective use of CS or
CN would require the introduction of quantities of these agents
far in excess of that required to deter trained troops (10
mg/m^3 for CS) and well past the levels required to pose an immediate
danger to life and health (2 mg/m^3 for CS).
Calculations by engineers for an independent casualty laboratory,
Failure Analysis, Inc., have concluded that the average
concentration of CS inside of Mount Carmel was 10 to 90 times
that necessary to deter trained troops (100 to 900 mg/m^3).
In my professional opinion and based upon my experience with the
use of these riot control agents, the concentration of CS
and/or CN introduced was designed to overcome the protective masks
by rapidly debilitating their filters and posed an
immediate threat to the life, health and safety of those inside
Mount Carmel, especially the unprotected children.
BREACHING OPERATIONS
During the six hours of the escalated plan to introduce CS
(and possibly CN) into the Mount Carmel Center, CEVs made
numerous breaches in the exterior walls of the structure. The
purpose of this breaching was ostensively to provide openings
for
members of the Branch Davidians to "escape" the building.
However, these operations significantly damaged the structure,
causing numerous internal load-bearing failures and resulted in
restricted egress from the structure.
As an example, the area immediately over the trap door leading
to the buried school bus and external underground storm
shelter was obstructed by debris. Further, both staircases leading
to the upper floors were disrupted or destroyed by the CEV
breaching operations. At one point, a significant portion of the
building can be seen to be off its foundation because of the
repeated collisions of the CEVs with the structure. These breaching
operations probably resulted in sprung doors, destruction
of flooring and creation of attendant falling and entrapment hazards
and probably prevented normal communication between
adjacent areas of the structure.
Despite the claim that the purpose of the breaching operation
was to secure exits for the Branch Davidians, in reality the CEVs
began to systematically dismantle the building as evidenced by
the destruction of the gymnasium immediately prior to the fire.
During the breaching operation, one of the CD/s (CEV-1) was
ordered to penetrate the structure from one side to the other.
CEV-1, with its bulldozer blade pushing debris in front of it,
penetrated to the base of the four-story tower, making contact
with the concrete storage structure at the tower's base. This
structure was already in a weakened condition from a previous
fire
as noted above. The contact, made by such a large and powerful
vehicle, probably caused a structural failure and resulted in
an
internal avalanche of the room contents and partial failure of
the concrete ceiling. This entrapped numerous people, mostly
women and children, who had taken refuge therein.
CAUSE AND ORIGIN
Possible Origin
At about 12:06 p.m., CEV-1 was dismantling the southeast corner
tower of the exterior wall at the ground level. At 12:06:24,
CEV-1 departed the southeast corner, possibly clipping the edge
of the structure as it turns away. At approximately 12:07:41,
a small heat signature is observed on the FLIR in the second floor
window of the southeast corner tower, less than two minutes
(and possibly as little as one minute, seventeen seconds) after
the CEV had made violent contact with that area of the building.
This heat signature is described by the Quientere report as a
100 kilowatt fire, consistent with a "wastebasket" size
fire and was
estimated to be one-half meter in diameter (about a foot and a
half). This is consistent with a small incipient smoldering fire
that
has erupted to produce visible flame.
Survivors of the conflagration reported that a lit Coleman
lantern was located in that immediate vicinity. Coleman-type lantern
becomes extremely hot in operation, reaching as much as 700 degrees
Fahrenheit. This temperature is sufficient to cause
ignition of combustible material even in absence of an external
flame source. Moreover, if the flame of the lantern had been
extinguished, the fuel would continue to be expelled from the
manifold under pressure from the tank. Personal conversations
with the manufacturer indicates that combustible materials should
not be placed with one foot from the lateral sides of an
operating lantern and no closer than four (4) feet from the top
side due to heat production and risk of fire.
If a lit Coleman-type lantern, which had been operating for
some time, had been knocked over by CEV contact with the
building or shaking of the building by vibration from the operation
of the CEVs outside, the heat from the lantern chassis, the
mantle flame, and the continued production of atomized fuel could
cause a fire consistent with that observed on the FLIR at
12:07:41.
FLIR Analysis
On April 19, 1993, the day of the fire, the government was
operating a United States Customs Cessna Citation jet aeroplane
equipped with a Forward-Looking Infrared (FLIR) video camera.
A FLIR camera detects infrared (heat) radiation, both that
which is reflected, such as sunlight, and that which is emitted
from objects which are "hotter" than their background.
These
differences are referred to as "heat signatures." A
FLIR camera cannot distinguish between reflection and emission
or between
visible flame and hot smoke and gas. Further, there are no industry
accepted standards for use of this technology in fire cause
and origin determination.
The following is the sequence of the fire as it appears on the FLIR:
12:06:24 CEV-1 leaves structure, possibly clipping southeast corner tower while turning away.
12:07:41 A small heat signature is observed in the southeast
corner tower window, second floor, immediately over where
CEV-1 had been operating a minute or so before.
12:08:49 A large heat signature is observed at the rear of the dining area and at the base of the tower.
12:08:56 As the FLIR aircraft circles the structure, sight
is lost of the southeast tower but an explosion of hot gas is
observed
emanating from the southeast side. This appears to be consistent
with a flashover and/or backdraft of the room of original fire
origin. However, a flashover may have occurred earlier while outside
the visual range of the camera.
12:09:12 A large heat signature appears in the front windows
of the southeast tower. A long heat signature is observed
streaming in the wind and spreading to the adjoining roof of the
front of the structure.
12:09:31 A very large heat signature, consistent with fire
and hot smoke, is seen breaking out around the eaves of the southeast
tower.
12:09:44 A very large heat signature, consistent with hot smoke,
gas or flame, is seen at the rear of the structure in the vicinity
of the dining room area.
12:09:50 A small heat signature is observed in the windows of the chapel on the southeast side of the structure.
12:10:00 A small heat signature is observed in the windows
along the back of the front corridor of the structure and is
consistent with hot gas, smoke and possibly flame travelling down
the corridor.
12:10:22 A growing heat signature is observed in the wreckage of the gym and is consistent with fire growth from the chapel.
12:11:02 A very large heat signature emanates from the southeast
corner, dining area and gymnasium. Hot fire brands are seen
blowing off of corner tower roof and landing in vicinity of the
dining area.
12:11:05 Firebrands are seen blowing off of the southeast corner
tower roof and are sucked into hole in chapel area wall by
ambient external wind and internal venturi effects.
PRELIMINARY CONCLUSION OF CAUSE OF FIRE
Wind
1. At the time of ignition, there were ambient winds in excess
of 25 knots gusting to 40 knots (28.7 to 46 mph). These
extremelyhigh winds are quite significant with respect to the
firegrowth and spread. The angle of the wind to the structure,from
southeast to northwest, is in direct line with the fire growth
and propagation as would be expected.
2. There were two large holes made in the front of the structure
by the CEVs; one through the front of the double doors and
one directly in the center of the building. Both of these breaching
operations caused considerable structural damage to the
flooring of the second story, opening that story to the one below.
Moreover, high winds were able to enter through these
breaches and create a venturi, or wind-tunnel effect, in the transverse
corridors in the front of the building. This venturi effect
created a negative pressure zone in the interior and pulled air
from the southeast corner of the building toward the west and
north sides. The velocity of the airstream was considerable according
to eyewitness survivors. Further, an additional venturi is
created by the demolition of the gymnasium and breaching of the
exterior wall directly behind the chapel on the southeast side
of the structure.
3. Despite the conclusions articulated in the reports authored
by Gray and Quientere stating that the wind had nothing to do
with the fire growth and propagation, another arson investigator
retained by the United States to investigate the Mount Carmel
blaze testified at the criminal trial that:
...what I believe to be substandard construction and the fact
that some of its integrity had been compromised by the tanks,
the
building was well ventilated. Once the fire started, there was
no reason the fire... could not just burn unheeded.
and
I might also add that the wind was a very real contributory factor to the... spread of the fire and to its intensity.
and
... what that would do, it would introduce a whole volume of
air that may not have been available to the fire, and as the fire
burns it needs that air to sustain itself. Not only would the
construction or the fire load, whatever furniture may be inside
the
building, add to it, the holes were going to create a cross ventilation,
which are also going to spread the fire in the direction of
the wind.
Thus, at least one of the experts retained by the government
supports the proposition of this preliminary report that theambient
wind and breaching operations of the CEVs werecontributory to
the rapid spread and growth of the fire.
Fire
The National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) Publication
921, Guide for Fire and Explosion Investigations, 1995 edition,
gives standards regarding opinions expressed by fire investigators.
When forming opinions concerning the cause and origin of a
fire, an investigator should set standards for the degree of confidence
in those opinions. There are four levels of confidence that
can be regularly applied to such opinions:
(a) Conclusive. At this level of confidence, the hypotheses
has been tested and withstood all appropriate challenges while
all
reasonable alternatives to the hypotheses have been considered
and eliminated due to their failure to withstand a valid
challenge, leaving only that hypothesis under consideration as
true.
(b) Probable. This level of confidence corresponds to being
more likely true than not. At this level of confidence, the chance
of
the hypothesis being true is more than 50 percent.
(c) Possible. At this level of confidence, the hypothesis can be demonstrated to be feasible but cannot be declared probable.
(d) Suspected. This level of confidence corresponds to a perception
that the hypothesis may be true, but there are insufficient
data to draw a conclusion to the exclusion of any other reasonable
conclusion.
If the confidence level of the opinion is only "possible"
or "suspected," the cause should be listed as unknown,
undetermined, or
under investigation. However, the following scenario and the opinion
expressed herein is consistent with the data available to
me at this time. The degree of confidence which I set for this
opinion is possible.
After reviewing the evidence, I have reached a preliminary
conclusion on the cause, origin, nature and growth of the fire.
This
opinion is only preliminary as much additional evidence is required
before any conclusion can be reached which has a
confidence level greater than possible.
1. The fire originated in the southeast corner tower from the
tipping of a lit Coleman-type lantern which fell onto combustible
materials, most likely bedding materials, as the room was utilized
as sleeping quarters, and was most likely caused by violent
contact or mechanical shock associated with the CEV removing the
corner of the southeast tower directly under the point of
origin. The time of origin could have been as late as 12:06:24
p.m., but could have been earlier.
2. The fire smoldered, producing toxic and combustible gases
in the room. As these gases collected, the combustible materials
ignited, producing visible heat and flame. This ignition Is first
detected by the FLIR at 12:07:41 but may have been burning for
some time prior to this.
3. A flashover of the second floor room of southeast corner
tower occurs, This appears on the FLIR at 12:08:56 but appears
to be already in progress. The flashover could not have been observed
earlier because the FLIR operator had the southeast
corner tower out of the field of view.
4. At the time of ignition, there were ambient winds in excess
of 25 knots gusting to 40 knots (28.7 to 46 mph). These
extremely high winds are quite significant with respect to the
fire growth and spread. The angle of the wind to the structure,
from southeast to northwest, is in direct line with the fire growth
and propagation as would be expected.
5. There were two large holes made in the front of the structure
by the CEVs; one through the front of the double doors and
one directly in the center of the building. Both of these breaching
operations caused considerable structural damage to the
flooring of the second story, opening that story to the one below.
Moreover, high winds were able to enter through these
breaches and create a venturi, or wind-tunnel effect, in the transverse
corridors in the front of the building. This venturi effect
created a negative pressure zone in the interior and pulled air
from the southeast corner of the building toward the west and
north sides. The velocity of the airstream was considerable according
to eyewitness survivors. Further, an additional venturi is
created by the demolition of the gymnasium and breaching of the
exterior wall directly behind the chapel on the southeast side
of the structure.
6. Approximately ten minutes earlier, CEV-1 attempted to make
a through and through penetration from the front of the
structure to the rear. During this penetration, CEV-1 struck the
reinforced concrete structure at the base of the center
four-story tower wherein most of the women and children had taken
refuge. This deep penetration severely disrupted the
building structure and opened the ceiling of the dining area to
the second story hallway.
7. As the fire flashes over in the southeast corner tower,
the fire is pulled into the second story transverse hallway by
the venturi
created by the ambient winds. Hot, burning and combustible material
is sucked by the wind and negative pressure into the
hallway and transported rapidly throughout. Once these firebrands
encounter the obstructions in the middle of the building from
the CEV-1 penetration, they are ducted into the dining area by
the breach in the floor.
8. At 12:08:49, approximately a little over one minute, a heat
signature is observed at the rear of the dining area which appears
to be fire. Most of the heat signature appears to be outside of
the building at this point. The signature is unique in that
comparisons with visible light video show it producing a white
vapor which is consistent with burning propane. Moreover, much
combustible material, petroleum distillates, paints, and lantern
fuel were stored in the rear of the dining area according to
witnesses.
9. In addition to the venturi ducting down the transverse front
corridor, the fire grows because of the flashover from the
southeast corner tower fire and spreads rapidly through the attic
of the adjoining chapel. A surviving witness has stated that he
heard a cry of fire coming from the second floor and went up into
the chapel attic to investigate, crossing a causeway built over
the rafters. The chapel attic and causeway were contiguous with
the second floor front corridor and separated only by a
blanket. When the witness arrived at the junction of the transverse
corridor hallway and the chapel attic, he observed a "wall
of
fire" traveling down the corridor. The witness stated that:
I'm a drummer in a rock band. The fire was blowing down the
hall like a blowtorch and was the loudest sound I've ever heard.
There was no way I could get into that hall and couldn't stay
there because of the intense heat.
The witness further advised that the time between when he heard
the cry of fire and his arrival at the door to the corridor was
approximately one minute, strongly indicating rapid fire propagation.
10. The fire growth in the chapel was accelerated by the presence
of petroleum distillates and lantern fuels. Surviving witnesses
stated that approximately one dozen cans of Coleman lantern fuel
were moved from the front door area to the chapel to
prevent their destruction by CEV penetration.
11. Once the chapel was fully involved, the fire then spread
to the gymnasium area. The northwest side of the gymnasium had
been completely destroyed by action of CEV-2. This reduced the
surface to mass ratio of the fuel (building materials) such that
the fire was able to secure a rapid purchase and accelerate its
growth. In addition, the action of CEV-2 in this area may have
crushed numerous fuel and propane containers, aiding in the rapid
propagation and growth of the fire. Such fuel appears to
show on the FLIR as dark spots and it is known from surviving
Davidians that fuel and propane containers were there.
12. Abetted by high winds, the fire rapidly spreads, completely
destroying the rest of the structure.
ESCAPE OF THE OCCUPANTS
The conclusions of the Government's experts assert that the
occupants of the building could have escaped the fire had they
wanted to. In fact, the Gray report states that occupants had
up to five (5) minutes from the ignition of the fire to exit the
building. This is not consistent with the fire spread or known
reactions of fire-related human behavior.
As noted above, the breaching operations of the CEVs caused
considerable disruption and mechanical failure to large portions
of the structure; in fact, the entire southeast side of the building
was knocked off its foundation by action of the CEVs. This
disruption probably created multiple hazards including entrapment,
crushing, and restrictions of egress and community between
floors. Early breaching operations are known to have occluded
access to the trap door leading to an underground shelter.
Eyewitness testimony and statements establish that CEV operations
destroyed or significantly damaged the two stairways
leading from the upper floors, trapping those occupants to the
upper levels of the structure. Moreover, doors were known to
be sprung and were unable to be opened because of structural distortion.
The noise generated by the high winds blowing through the building
and that from the unmuffled CEV engines also would inhibit
the spread of an alarm. In fact, eyewitness interviews establish
that the alarm of fire, first broadcast from the site of origin,
was
not transmitted to the other occupants because of noise interference
and attenuation or acoustic disruption due to structural
damage.
Many of the fire victims, mostly the women and children, died
inside or in close proximity to the concrete structure at the
base
of the four story tower. This is the same structure which had
been in the path of CEV-1 during its deep penetration. The actions
of CEV-1 in making this penetration had bulldozed large amounts
of material, if not against, then in front of the door, limiting
egress. Witnesses believe that many of the women took their children
into the walk-in cooler to protect them from the effects of
the CS. The cooler had an air-tight door and was not electrically
energized.
The injection of CS had occurred numerous times during the
day. Each injection filled at least part of the building with
a dense
cloud of particulate matter, limiting breathing and visibility.
When flashover occurred in the southeast corner tower, the
combustion products were rapidly distributed throughout the building.
This initial warning was ignored by some occupants
because they mistook the fire products as another CS injection,
delaying their apprehension of danger and severely limiting their
time for escape.
As with all fires, the combustible products, including carbon
monoxide, carbon dioxide, hydrogen cyanide (all of which were
found in the Branch Davidian victims who died by smoke inhalation),
deprive the brain of oxygen and cause confusion, limiting a
fire victim's ability to apprehend danger and to execute a plan
of escape. Moreover, the toxic combustion products produced
by the injection of methylene chloride into the structure, phosgene
(PG) and chlorine (Cl) gas, could have rendered large
numbers of people unconscious and prevented their escape from
the fire. According to the Material Safety Data sheet and
hazardous chemical data published for methylene chloride, the
vapors can readily accumulate and can cause unconsciousness
and death in confined and poorly ventilated spaces, it is an eye,
skin and respiratory tract irritant. Toxic, methylene chloride
is a
narcotic in high concentrations and is metabolized by the body
to form carbon monoxide. Moreover, methylene chloride is
flammable in its vapor state, and may have contributed to the
spread and rapid growth of the fire.
Taken in a totality, the government experts' claim that the
occupants of Mount Carmel Center could have escaped and that they
had at least five minutes to do so is not supported by the evidence.
In fact, one expert testified at the criminal trial that:
Q. All right. But in any event -- but prior to it being --
and all of it's involved, and so people that may have been in
there at the
time of the fire's beginning were in serious trouble within two
minutes of the start of that fire, weren't they, from the smoke
and
whatever else was going on?
A. Probably two minutes and thereafter, yes.
Some consideration must also be given to the psychodynamics
of the group considering their subjugation to psychological
pressure tactics, sleep deprivation and general apprehension and
fear of the government agents outside contributing to their
delay to exit the building. The behavioral response of an individual's
awareness of the initial fire incident cue (odor or visible
smoke) often is a determinant outcome of the fire incident. The
manner in which an individual is alerted to the occurrence of
a
fire may predispose the perception of the threat involved.
Processes of social inhibition, diffusion of responsibility,
and mimicking appear to be primarily responsible for the inhibition
of
adaptive and assistance behavior responses (rescue of self and
others) by participants in emergency situations. The inhibition
of
behavioral responses in the early stages of a fire incident (when
the fire incident cues are relatively ambiguous) may predispose
participants to a nonadaptive type of behavior (failure to rescue
self or others) since the available evacuation time has been
expanded.
Thus, the psychological condition of the occupants after 51
days of siege, the excessive introduction of CS or CN and any
attendant toxic effects, general and pervasive fear of external
conditions and induced group social dynamics most likely led to
a
delayed perception of danger with tragic consequences.
ADDITIONAL DISCOVERY INFORMATION
Before an expert opinion can be rendered in this case, much
additional discovery information is required. Much could be
learned from examination of the forensic evidence in the hands
of the investigators, including in situ photographs, fire pattern
analyses, aerial video other than the FLIR (there must be some),
the original FLIR, identification of all munitions and ordnance
used, audio and video surveillance recordings prior to and at
the time of the fire, tactical and voice traffic logs and recordings,
sketches, drawings, line-sight diagrams, etc.
Moreover, before an opinion can be rendered about the efficacy
of using FLIR technology to determine the cause, origin and
growth of the Mount Carmel fire, the exact manufacturer and nomenclature
of the FLIR used and the altitude of the orbiting
aircraft would have to be known to determine the FLIR's capabilities
and resolution.
At this point in time, since the fire scene has been completely
destroyed by the government, it is impossible to form an opinion
on the cause and origin of the fire with any degree ofcertainty
greater than possible without unrestricted access to the forensic
information available to and relied upon by the government's fire
investigators. Until such time as this information is available,
no
opinion can be expressed other than a tentative, preliminary opinion
as contained in this declaration.
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
The accepted rule in fire investigation is to look for arson
as the cause only after all other sources of ignition have been
eliminated. It appears from an examination of the Gray andQuientere
reports that they proceeded in reverse fashion: determined
that the fire was arson and set out to prove it. Moreover, much
valuable evidence was destroyed at the direction of agents of
the United States by the subsequent and needless destruction of
the fire scene by bulldozers.
There are many occasions where suspicious, multiple origin
fires were initially thought to be arson but later were confirmed
to
be accidental. For example, a large fire in Hialeah, Florida had
multiple points of independent origin and was ruled arson.
Subsequent investigation showed that the initial investigators
where wrong in their conclusions and the fire was determined to
be
accidental electrical in origin.
It also appears that the initial investigation at Mount Carmel
did not attempt to rule out all possible causes of accidental
origin as
is required in any fire cause and origin determination. In 1986,
a large loss-of-life fire occurred at the DuPont Plaza fire in
San
Juan, Puerto Rico, in which myself and the United States' expert,
Dr. Quientere were involved. Despite the highly suspicious
origin of the fire, an exhaustive search was made for possible
accidental origins prior to focusing on arson as the cause. I
do not
believe this was done in this case.
Based upon the information and evidence available to me, that
published by the United States Departments of Justice and
Treasury, and that submitted in the United States' Motion for
Summary Judgment in the above-captioned case, it is my expert
opinion as a fire and explosion investigator that no opinion could
be reached by the government's investigators which has a
confidence level greater than possible as explained above.
The preliminary opinion expressed in this declaration is just
as consistent with the evidence and as plausible a scenario as
that
postulated by the reports authored by experts for the United States.
However, only through the examination of additional
forensic evidence believed to be in the possession of the government's
experts can a probable or conclusive cause and origin
determination be made.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true
and correct with in my personal knowledge except where such is
based upon information and belief, in which case I believe it
to be true.
Executed on January ...., 1996.
RICHARD L. SHERROW
President, Richard L. Sherrow & Assoc.
Fire & Explosion Investigator